Stability of ecosystems under oscillatory driving with frequency modulation

Abstract

ABSTRACT: Consumer-resource cycles are widespread in ecosystems, and seasonal forcing is known to influence them profoundly. Typically, seasonal forcing perturbs an ecosystem with time-varying frequency; however, previous studies have explored the dynamics of such systems under oscillatory forcing with constant frequency. Studies of the effect of time-varying frequency on ecosystem stability are lacking. Here we investigate isolated and network models of a cyclic consumer-resource ecosystem with oscillatory driving subjected to frequency modulation. We show that frequency modulation can induce stability in the system in the form of stable synchronized solutions, depending on intrinsic model parameters and extrinsic modulation strength. The stability of synchronous solutions is determined by calculating the maximal Lyapunov exponent, which determines that the fraction of stable synchronous solution increases with an increase in the modulation strength. We also uncover intermittent synchronization when synchronous dynamics are intermingled with episodes of asynchronous dynamics. Using the phase-reduction method for the network model, we reduce the system into a phase equation that clearly distinguishes synchronous, intermittently synchronous, and asynchronous solutions. While investigating the role of network topology, we find that variation in rewiring probability has a negligible effect on the stability of synchronous solutions. This study deepens our understanding of ecosystems under seasonal perturbations.